Here’s How Putin’s Call for Ruble Payments for Gas Could Play Out

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President Vladimir V. Putin’s demand on Wednesday that “unfriendly international locations” like america, Britain and the European Union members pay for Russian pure fuel in rubles has raised questions as as to whether such a transfer would result in renegotiation of some contracts.

Robert Habeck, the German minister for the economic system and local weather, responded by saying that the demand amounted to a breach of contract. And Francesco Giavazzi, an financial adviser to Italy’s prime minister, Mario Draghi, stated at a Bloomberg Capital Market Discussion board in Milan: “My view is that we pay in euros as a result of paying in rubles could be a strategy to keep away from sanctions, so I feel we hold paying in euros.”

Mr. Putin’s demand would blunt the effectiveness of sanctions imposed by governments against the invasion of Ukraine which are directed at undermining the worth of Russia’s forex. Requiring patrons to pay in rubles would imply a rise within the demand for the forex, which, in flip, would assist prop up its worth.

The sanctions have pushed down the worth of the ruble as individuals have frantically rushed to show their rubles right into a extra secure forex, just like the greenback or the euro.

Vinicius Romano, a senior analyst on the consulting agency Rystad Power, wrote in a market be aware: “Fuel provide agreements are usually thought of sacrosanct. And in an excessive state of affairs, insisting on ruble funds might give patrons trigger to reopen different points of their contracts — such because the length — and easily velocity up their exit from Russian fuel altogether.”

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